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Improving the analysis of individual participant data (IPD)

In our IPD meta-analyses, we collect data on all trials, published and unpublished, on all randomised patients and on the same outcomes for each trial. This should limit publication bias, attrition bias and selective outcome reporting bias as far as possible.  We also update follow-up in order to reduce any follow-up bias in long-term outcomes. As the IPD are thoroughly checked and queried, this often improves the quality of the data further.

These approaches should help ensure that we consistently provide the most up-to-date, unbiased and reliable estimates of the effects of treatments. However, we also need to ensure that we select and develop the best methods for analysis of IPD so that we optimally describe the effects of therapies and maximise the potential of our data.

In many situations, we are interested in time-to-event outcomes e.g. time to disease recurrence or time to death. Methods of analysis of these outcomes, particularly in terms of summarising the treatment effect, need further development and assessment.

 

Key projects

  • Exploring the best methods for assessing treatment by patient subgroup interactions
  • Identifying the best methods for summarising treatments effects based on IPD
  • Identifying the most suitable summary measures for meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes
  • Using cumulative incidence estimation to allow for competing causes of failure in meta-analysis

 

Selected publications

  • Siannis F, Barrett JK, Farewell VT, Tierney JF. One-stage parametric meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes. Stat Med. 2010 Dec 20;29(29):3030-45. Epub 2010 Oct 20
  • Fisher DJ, Copas AJ, Tierney JF, Parmar MK. A critical review of methods for the assessment of patient-level interactions in individual participant data meta-analysis of randomized trials, and guidance for practitioners. J Clin Epidemiol. 2011 Sep;64(9):949-67. Epub 2011 Mar 16
  • Bowden J, Tierney J, Simmonds M, Copas AJ, Higgins JPT. Individual patient data meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes: one-stage versus two-stage approaches to estimating the hazard ratio under a random effects model. Res Synthesis Methods, in press
  • Simmonds MC, Tierney J, Bowden J, Higgins JPT. Meta-analysis of time-to-event data: a comparison of two-stage methods. Res Synthesis Methods, in press